68-1 Future Crop Yield Projections in the Southeast USA.

Poster Number 821

See more from this Division: ASA Section: Climatology & Modeling
See more from this Session: General Global Climate Change: I

Monday, November 4, 2013
Tampa Convention Center, East Exhibit Hall

Guillermo A. Baigorria1, Dong Wook Shin2, Consuelo C. Romero3, Ji-Hyun Oh4, Steven Cocke4, James W. Jones5 and James O'Brien4, (1)School of Natural Resources and Dpt. Agronomy & Horticulture, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, Lincoln, NE
(2)Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
(3)School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE
(4)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS), Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
(5)Ag. and Bio. Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL
Abstract:
We integrate state-of-the-art climate projections, crop modeling systems and economic assessment to develop a tool for studying and assessing agricultural production in the southeast United States. This integrated framework will enable us to assess the potential impact of future climate variability and trend on the production of economically-valuable crops in the southeast United States (SE-USA) where weather/climate has major effects on agricultural yields.   Downscaling systems suitable for application to dynamical crop models are being evaluated, extended and developed. Optimal weighted multi-model ensemble approaches will finally be used to improve the projection of future regional crop yield. This research will enhance the current knowledge of linking climate and process models, with an economic evaluation, as a demonstration of an approach that can be applied for other settings and problems.

See more from this Division: ASA Section: Climatology & Modeling
See more from this Session: General Global Climate Change: I

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