Impacts of Climate Change on Rice and Wheat Production in China-a Simulation Study.

Prediction of crop productivity under changing climate is important for food security. Crop growth model can be powerful tools for predicting crop production and assessing the impacts of environment changes on agriculture. Regional patterns of climate change during crops growth period in past decades in China were analyzed. Based on rice and wheat model, RiceGrow and WheatGrow, the regional phenology and productivity of rice and wheat were predicted under different climate scenarios in main production area of China. Several agricultural solutions on mitigating and adapting the impacts of climate change on crops in china were proposed.